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Working Group on Enhancing the Assessment of Macroeconomic Impacts of Climate Change Mitigation and Green Transition

VM006:00/2026 Development

The Ministry of Finance establishes a working group to develop the assessment of the macroeconomic impacts related to climate change mitigation and adaptation, as well as the green transition. The work will be carried out in cooperation with the relevant ministries, the research community in the field, and the statistical authorities.

Basic information In progress

Project number VM006:00/2026

Case numbers VN/36989/2025

Set by Ministry of Finance

Term/schedule 19.1.2026 – 18.6.2026

Date of appointment 15.1.2026

  • economic effects
  • loss of nature
  • climate changes

Contact person
Sara Hellemaa, Finanssiasiantuntija
tel. +358 295 530 067
[email protected]

Project status

Goals and results

The tasks of the working group are to:

1. Provide an overall view of the current state and key challenges in Finland regarding the assessment of the economic impacts of climate change mitigation, climate change adaptation, and the green transition.

2. Identify methods for assessing the macroeconomic and public finance impacts of climate objectives and the policy measures supporting their achievement and review international practices for carrying out such assessments.

3. Prepare a plan for the measures needed to develop and implement a framework for macroeconomic impact assessment in Finland, taking into account the various methodological approaches, the required expertise, leadership and organisational arrangements, as well as other necessary conditions, such as resources, the availability of statistical data, and the integration of the research community into the assessment work and its further development.

Starting points

Both in Finland and internationally, it has been recognised that developing methods for assessing the macroeconomic impacts of climate and biodiversity-related risks, the measures taken to mitigate them, and the green transition presents a significant challenge.

Expertise related to assessing the macroeconomic and public finance impacts of the policy measures required to achieve climate and green transition objectives is limited, and the assessment of economic impacts within the Government is distributed across ministries according to their respective mandates. The Government does not currently have sufficient expertise or analytical tools to assess the macroeconomic impacts of these phenomena. The assessment of the macroeconomic impacts of climate plans, strategies, and climate measures is often unilateral, project-based, or entirely lacking.

In Finland, the Room for Growth project working group and the Working Group on Financing the Green Transition have proposed the development of a framework for assessing the macroeconomic impacts of climate change mitigation, climate-related risks, and the green transition. The National Audit Office of Finland considers such development to be well founded. In addition, the EU’s new budgetary directive requires Member States to take climate-related risks into account in the assessment of the sustainability of public finances. At the international level, the Coalition of Finance Ministers for Climate Action has examined best practices in methods for assessing economic impacts, as well as the related requirements for expertise, leadership, and governance.

Producing macroeconomic impact assessments to support decision-making falls within the responsibility of the Ministry of Finance. As responsibilities for the preparation of measures related to climate change and the green transition are divided among ministries according to their respective mandates, macroeconomic impact assessment requires a broad cross-governmental approach and close cooperation among ministries and with the Prime Minister’s Office, as well as close and long-term collaboration with the research community and the statistical authorities.

Hankkeen asettaminen

  1. Asettamispäätös: Työryhmä ilmastonmuutoksen hillinnän ja vihreän siirtymän kokonaistaloudellisten vaikutustenarvioinnin PDF

    13.1.2026 Ministry of Finance

Ungrouped

Person

Role, Term

Spolander, Mikko
Osastopäällikkö, ylijohtaja
Ministry of Finance

Role: Chair
19.1. – 18.6.2026

Spolander, Mikko
Osastopäällikkö, ylijohtaja
Ministry of Finance

Role: Person in charge
19.1. – 18.6.2026

Tamminen, Saara
Johtava asiantuntija
Prime Minister’s Office

Role: Deputy chair
19.1. – 18.6.2026

Hautakangas, Sami
Erityisasiantuntija
Ministry of Finance

Role: Secretary
6.2. – 18.6.2026

Hellemaa, Sara
Finanssiasiantuntija
Ministry of Finance

Role: Secretary
6.2. – 18.6.2026

Hellemaa, Sara
Finanssiasiantuntija
Ministry of Finance

Role: Project contact person
19.1. – 18.6.2026

Weaver, Sally
Erityisasiantuntija
Ministry of the Environment

Role: Secretary
6.2. – 18.6.2026

Ahlvik, Lassi
Professori
Helsingin yliopisto

Role: Expert
19.1. – 18.6.2026

Honkatukia, Outi
Ympäristöneuvos
Ministry of the Environment

Role: Member
19.1. – 18.6.2026

Jääskeläinen, Saara
Liikenneneuvos
Ministry of Transport and Communications

Role: Member
19.1. – 18.6.2026

Koljonen, Tiina
johtava tutkija
Valtion teknillinen tutkimuskeskus VTT

Role: Member
19.1. – 18.6.2026

Lepola-Lång, Siina
Erityisasiantuntija
Ministry of Employment and the Economy

Role: Member
19.1. – 18.6.2026

Leskinen, Pekka
yksikönjohtaja
Suomen ympäristökeskus

Role: Member
19.1. – 18.6.2026

Lintunen, Jussi
apulaisprofessori
Luonnonvarakeskus (Luke)

Role: Member
19.1. – 18.6.2026

Liski, Matti
Professori
Aalto-yliopiston kauppakorkeakoulu

Role: Expert
19.1. – 18.6.2026

Ollikka, Kimmo
erikoistutkija
Valtion taloudellinen tutkimuskeskus VATT

Role: Member
19.1. – 18.6.2026

Peltonen, Mikko
Luonnonvaraneuvos
Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry

Role: Member
19.1. – 18.6.2026

Sariola, Mikko
neuvonantaja
Suomen Pankki

Role: Member
19.1. – 18.6.2026

Ylä-Jarkko, Mari
ylijohtaja
Tilastokeskus

Role: Member
19.1. – 18.6.2026

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The ministries implement the Government Programme, draft acts and other statutes, and promote reforms through different kinds of projects, working groups and bodies. Information on all this is available on the Government website.

All ministries' projects are available on the Government website valtioneuvosto.fi/en/projects

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